The Baltimore Orioles (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 17-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-11 ATS.
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Eric Haase | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Eric Haase | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Eric Haase | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 14-11 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 6.81% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 23.18% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 11.41% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -18.66% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 7.98% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (83/154) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.1.
Grayson Rodriguez has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — seventh Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .524 (115 PA’s) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 91st Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed an OPS of just .091 (22 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .633 — 100th Percentile.