The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 82-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 65-78 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 2-7, 5.80 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 12-7, 4.79 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+20.50 Units / 128% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+18.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+17.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+15.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 46 games (+26.80 Units / 58% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+15.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 69% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 65% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 135 games (+19.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 97 games (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 49 away games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 78-66 against the Run Line (+19.25 Units / 11.22% ROI).

• 82-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -2.15% ROI
• 77-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.1 Units / 10.9% ROI
• 55-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -18.83% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 65-78 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -12.12% ROI).

• 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -4.38% ROI
• 73-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 2.52% ROI
• 63-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -10.68% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cade Povich has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Cade Povich has a strikeout rate of 37% (10 SO in 27 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 7th best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 24% — 88th Percentile.

Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of .837 (272 PA’s) this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .710 — sixth Percentile.

Cade Povich has a strike rate of 71% (70/98) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Brayan Bello in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (84/480) against Brayan Bello since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (245/423) against Brayan Bello since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (102/557) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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