The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Orioles vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 80-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 77-76 ATS.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 96-57 against the Run Line (+28 Units / 13.93% ROI).
- 80-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.6 Units / 16.56% ROI
- 69-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 78-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.33% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 77-76 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -1.77% ROI).
- 72-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 71-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -4.22% ROI
- 72-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -3.28% ROI
Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish allowed an OBP of just .091 (22 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .618 (47 Total Bases / 76 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .399 — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.03 (56.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has pitched 12.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 21.2.
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (267/561) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 28% (125/441) against Michael Wacha since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (590/1,199) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (96/522) against Michael Wacha this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.