The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-140) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 83-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 66-79 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 7-9, 4.24 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-10, 4.37 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 48 games (+24.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+16.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 60% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 137 games (+18.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 99 games (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 away games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 away games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 36% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 79-67 against the Run Line (+18.35 Units / 10.47% ROI).

• 83-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.03% ROI
• 78-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.1 Units / 10.75% ROI
• 56-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.8 Units / -18.62% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 66-79 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -11.66% ROI).

• 73-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.54% ROI
• 74-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 2.49% ROI
• 64-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -10.59% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (27/156) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (43 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 96th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .215 (23 Total Bases / 107 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 99th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .517 (189 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .688 — 97 th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .775 (293 Total Bases / 378 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (148 Total Bases / 185 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .562 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .179 (661 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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