The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 82-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 66-78 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 7-5, 3.51 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-13, 4.09 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+21.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 47 games (+25.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+16.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 55% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 136 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+14.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 away games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+4.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 78-67 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 10% ROI).

• 82-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -2.61% ROI
• 78-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.1 Units / 11.46% ROI
• 55-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.8 Units / -19.39% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 66-78 against the Run Line (-21.3 Units / -11.19% ROI).

• 73-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -3.79% ROI
• 74-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 3.14% ROI
• 63-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -11.31% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of 1.405 (22 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .681 — first Percentile.

Albert Suarez has struck out just 4% (1/22) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .824 (14 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .378 — second Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (519/748) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (55/167) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Kutter Crawford in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (93/456) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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