The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 5-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-2 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 1-0, 2.32 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 1-0, 5.23 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 58% ROI)
• Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI)
• Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
• Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
• Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 76 away games (+25.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-5 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.67% ROI).

• 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -4.44% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.9% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -3.13% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 48.94% ROI).

• 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 35.98% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.5% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.67% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (157/264) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 63% of the time (164/262) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (166/264) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (325/500) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (109/173) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (43/73) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (150/244) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (116/186) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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