:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/71195587/usa_today_18797711.0.jpg "Orioles vs. Rangers prediction: Picks, odds, live stream, TV channel, start time on Monday, August 1")
The Baltimore Orioles and Texas Rangers square off on Monday with first pitch set for 8:05 p.m. ET. The game takes place at Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX and will only be available on local TV or through an MLB.tv subscription. Spenser Watkins (3-1, 4.03 ERA) will start for the Orioles with Jon Gray (7-5, 3.62 ERA) throwing for the Rangers.
Baltimore (51-51) lost two of three road matchups with the Cincinnati Reds, as it heads to Texas for a three-game set. Watkins will make his 14th start of 2022 and allowed three or fewer runs over his last seven starts. The Orioles rank No. 25 in on-base percentage (.301), and Anthony Santander leads the team in home runs (19) and RBIs (56).
Texas (46-55) won three of four games against the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend as the Rangers return home. Gray is having a strong season in Year 1 with the organization, and he's coming off a start in which he allowed four runs over 6.1 innings in a loss to the Seattle Mariners. The Rangers rank No. 10 in runs per game (4.6), with Adolis Garcia driving in a team-high 63 RBI in 2022.
Orioles vs. Rangers
Pitchers: Spenser Watkins vs. Jon Gray
First pitch: 8:05 p.m. ET
Orioles local broadcast: MASN 2
Rangers local broadcast: Bally Sports Southwest
Live stream: MLB.tv (subscription)
Odds, picks & predictions
Run Line: Rangers -1.5 (+130)
Run total: 7.5
Moneyline odds: Rangers -165, Orioles +140
Moneyline pick: Rangers -165
Texas has the better pitcher in this matchup along with the offensive edge, and the potential payout is not high enough to take a risk on the Orioles on Monday night. Gray has a 10.0 K/9 to this point of the season, and that would be his career best. He is set up for a big matchup against an Orioles lineup that strikes out a decent amount (8.8 per game) with a low batting average (.234).
Player prop pick: Spenser Watkins Over 3.5 strikeouts (-160)
The Orioles starter does not strike out a ton of hitters with a very low 5.4 K/9, but this total is still too low. Watkins will face a lineup that strikes out 8.8 times per game, and he surpassed four K's four of his last five starts.