Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 21
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 21

The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Orioles are 60-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 45-53 ATS.

Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-5, 4.32 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-10, 3.78 ERA

Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+16.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 53-45 against the Run Line (+16.45 Units / 14.56% ROI).

  • 60-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 5.61% ROI
  • 50-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.75 Units / 9.18% ROI
  • 37-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -17.02% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 45-53 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -11.54% ROI).

  • 46-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -11.37% ROI
  • 39-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.2 Units / -18.72% ROI
  • 54-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 10.53% ROI

Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dean Kremer (BAL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160

Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .409 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has walked 4 of 25 left-handed batters (16%) in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (33/180) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (81/228) against Andrew Heaney this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .267 (54-for-202) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 14th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,273/2,314) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 128 of Andrew Heaney’s 301 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 42%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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