Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 3
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 3

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 2-1 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nate Lowe 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jonah Heim 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Brad Miller 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Nate Lowe 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jonah Heim 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brad Miller 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Nate Lowe 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jonah Heim 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Brad Miller 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Gray 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Kyle Bradish 4.5 -110 4.5 -120

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 165 games (+23.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 100 of their last 165 games (+20.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 84 away games (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 84 games at home (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 165 games (+3.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 8.16% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -31.67% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 89.55% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 46.48% ROI).

  • 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 83.56% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 26.09% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -33.33% ROI

Kyle Bradish had an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (266/518) of the time in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Kyle Bradish had a strike rate of just 60% (316/523) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

74% of Kyle Bradish’s called strikeouts were low in 2022 — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 95th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (28/110) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 28% (16/57) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Jon Gray allowed an OBP of just .247 (271 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 93rd Percentile.

  
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