The Baltimore Orioles (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Orioles are 5-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 6-2 ATS.

Orioles vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells 0-1, 4.50 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 0-0, 13.51 ERA

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+11.30 Units / 141% ROI)
• Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 58% ROI)
• Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Edward Olivares has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.90 Units / 99% ROI)
• Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 76 away games (+25.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 26.43% ROI).

• 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 18.35% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -4.46% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -3.97% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 45.83% ROI).

• 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 45% ROI
• 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 44.25% ROI
• 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -52.25% ROI

Pirates vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .185 (17-for-92) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells allowed a BABIP of .200 in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells allowed a BABIP of .170 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (43/262) against Tyler Wells since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Falter located 44% of his pitches inside (572/1,296) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (84 Total Bases / 140 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .392 — first Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (12 Total Bases / 17 ABs) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .398 — third Percentile.

Bailey Falter allowed a slugging percentage of .604 (81 Total Bases / 134 ABs) on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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