The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Thursday, March 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Clearwater.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Orioles vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Orioles are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 3-5 ATS.

Orioles vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 66.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 121 games (+14.08 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+10.93 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -8.88% ROI).

• 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -14.67% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 34.09% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -42.53% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -25.89% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -14.51% ROI
• 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 40.88% ROI
• 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -51.16% ROI

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .170 (9-for-53) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .160 (16-for-100) against Tyler Wells when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit just .193 (34-for-176) against Tyler Wells last season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 90th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 35% (63/181) against Tyler Wells last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (24/171) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez had a strike rate of just 57% (68/119) in late innings last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

  
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