The Baltimore Orioles (-250) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+200) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 60-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 47-55 ATS.
Orioles vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 10-4, 2.38 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 1-5, 5.12 ERA
Orioles vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 80.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 45 games (+31.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+23.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games at home (+26.30 Units / 120% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 38 games at home (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 54-47 against the Run Line (+15.35 Units / 13.13% ROI).
- 60-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 2.58% ROI
- 52-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.65 Units / 9.72% ROI
- 38-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.4 Units / -17.56% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 47-55 against the Run Line (-24.16 Units / -17.85% ROI).
- 37-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -17.88% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 5.42% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.05% ROI
Marlins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 4.5 +140 | 4.5 -185 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (418/642) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 71% of the time (103/144) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (427/642) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (103/144) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Roddery Munoz with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — 100th Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has walked 29 of 246 batters (12%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .137 (7 GB hits out of 51 GBs) against Roddery Munoz this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Roddery Munoz with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — 100th Percentile.