Orioles vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 24
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 24

The Baltimore Orioles (-165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 60-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 46-55 ATS.

Orioles vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Chayce McDermott 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-3, 7.37 ERA

Orioles vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 44 games (+32.95 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+26.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 games at home (+27.30 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+18.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 54-46 against the Run Line (+16.35 Units / 14.11% ROI).

  • 60-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 3.6% ROI
  • 51-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.65 Units / 8.9% ROI
  • 38-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.35 Units / -16.77% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 46-55 against the Run Line (-25.16 Units / -18.78% ROI).

  • 36-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -19.17% ROI
  • 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 4.58% ROI
  • 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.23% ROI

Marlins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Marlins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Otto Lopez (MIA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Marlins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Marlins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Tyler (MIA) 3.5 -120 3.5 -110

No Matchup notes for this Game

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has walked 86 of 587 batters (15%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (135/211) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .109 (7 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Edward Cabrera with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to April 27th — Griffin Canning has the longest active streak at 7.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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