The Baltimore Orioles (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Orioles are 55-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-49 ATS.

Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 9-3, 2.28 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 6-7, 3.90 ERA

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+20.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-37 against the Run Line (+19.9 Units / 19.97% ROI).

• 55-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 10.81% ROI
• 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 8.92% ROI
• 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -16.53% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-49 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -13.48% ROI).

• 47-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -2.37% ROI
• 34-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -21.02% ROI
• 50-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 12.85% ROI

Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (419/631) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (262/395) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 21 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (95/133) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (461/664) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (9-for-57) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — 94th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .158 (9 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (461/664) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
Read Full Article