The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 54-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-48 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-4, 4.27 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 5-4, 2.74 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+19.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 70 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+15.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 48-37 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- 54-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 9.86% ROI
- 43-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 10.23% ROI
- 31-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -17.81% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-48 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -12.71% ROI).
- 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 34-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -20.1% ROI
- 49-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.45 Units / 11.96% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .413 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .108 (4 GB hits out of 37 GBs) against Dean Kremer with the shift this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 (8 GB hits out of 57 GBs) against Dean Kremer this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed 25 home runs at home since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .130 against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .238 (425 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .174 (155 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .230 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.