The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 53-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-47 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 9-3, 3.74 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 7-5, 3.16 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-37 against the Run Line (+17.3 Units / 17.86% ROI).
- 53-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 9.12% ROI
- 43-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 11.5% ROI
- 30-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -19.12% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-47 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -11.27% ROI).
- 47-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 34-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.8 Units / -19.19% ROI
- 48-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 11.05% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .497 SLG vs right-handed batters (third worst)– fourth Percentile and just .303 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (39/124) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 34% (32 SO in 93 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (42/124) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 9 of 396 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 21 of 657 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 20 of 646 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 3 of 153 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.