Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29
Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29

The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Orioles are 77-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 65-68 ATS.

Orioles vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-6, 6.15 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-3, 7.56 ERA

Orioles vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+34.00 Units / 227% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+13.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+11.80 Units / 148% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+29.60 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 125 games (+20.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 119 games (+5.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 73-61 against the Run Line (+20.5 Units / 12.95% ROI).

  • 77-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.29% ROI
  • 72-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.45 Units / 11.29% ROI
  • 51-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.45 Units / -19.37% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 65-68 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -5.02% ROI).

  • 79-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -4.34% ROI
  • 69-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.44% ROI
  • 61-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -10.17% ROI

Dodgers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Colton Cowser (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Dodgers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Miller (LAD) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Cade Povich (BAL) 3.5 -140 3.5 +105

Opponents are hitting .273 (6-for-22) against Cade Povich with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 10th Percentile.

Cade Povich has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (37/49) over the last 14 days — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Cade Povich in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Cade Povich this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bobby Miller has averaged 98.5 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.5 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.7 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to April 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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