Orioles vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 9
Orioles vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 9

The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in North Port, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 10-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 5-3 ATS.

Orioles vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.70 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Heston Kjerstad has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 away games (+3.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chadwick Tromp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.30 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 82 away games (+26.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Orioles are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 40.12% ROI).

  • 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 76.79% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.59 Units / -32.52% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 24.52% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.48 Units / 13.54% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 35.88% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.52 Units / -28.73% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.58 Units / 17.65% ROI

Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (141/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

68% of Dean Kremer’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a chase percentage of 43% (84/195) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 48% (162/336) against Chris Sale with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale had a strikeout rate of 43% (68/157) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .162 (24-for-148) against Chris Sale’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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