The Baltimore Orioles (-150) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+125) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 67-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 52-61 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-10, 4.79 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 4-3, 5.65 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 45 games (+29.45 Units / 65% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+19.45 Units / 83% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 73% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 38 games (+44.85 Units / 118% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 105 games (+13.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 99 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 43 games (+21.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 60-54 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 10.15% ROI).

• 67-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 1.5% ROI
• 63-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.55 Units / 15.82% ROI
• 40-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -23.75% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 52-61 against the Run Line (-20.55 Units / -13.44% ROI).

• 52-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -10.79% ROI
• 61-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 5.64% ROI
• 49-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.45 Units / -14.81% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 50% (208/417) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 50% (208/417) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 23% of the time (243/1,049) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 44 of Trevor Rogers’ 249 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bowden Francis has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 43 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Bowden Francis on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 11 of Bowden Francis’ 122 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 9%) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (4-for-26) against Bowden Francis on low fastballs since last season — 4th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .277 — 96th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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