The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 61-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-67 ATS.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 71 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 96 games (+30.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 96 games (+29.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 73 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 76-40 against the Run Line (+28.3 Units / 18.48% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.5 Units / 20.82% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.18% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.52% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-67 against the Run Line (-23.8 Units / -17.17% ROI).
- 61-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.8 Units / -12.75% ROI
- 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.47% ROI
- 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -8.51% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .216 (60-for-278) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .944 (151 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .475 (80 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (76 Total Bases / 136 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .341 — first Percentile.
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (85/442) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of just .354 (52 Total Bases / 147 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .544 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 98 of Ross Stripling’s 486 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.