The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+125) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 49-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 33-42 ATS.
Orioles vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 8-2, 3.22 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Jake Bloss 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 26 games (+27.10 Units / 104% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.80 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games at home (+13.50 Units / 75% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+23.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+18.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+4.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 45-29 against the Run Line (+23.3 Units / 26.86% ROI).
- 49-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.3 Units / 14.63% ROI
- 37-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 11% ROI
- 26-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -18.41% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 33-42 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 35-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -16.89% ROI
- 26-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -29.37% ROI
- 46-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 20.85% ROI
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 43% (16/37) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .091 (44 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .091 (44 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out just 10% (4/39) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game