Oregon vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Oregon vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Oregon Ducks (2-0) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Oregon vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 77.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)

  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jordan James has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ben Gulbranson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Oregon is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.85% ROI
  • Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
  • Oregon State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Oregon State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Oregon is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .410

Oregon is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Oregon is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .550

Oregon is 11-2 (.786) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .525

Oregon State is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .496

Oregon State is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Oregon State is 12-3 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .486

Oregon State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632

Oregon State’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Oregon State’s offense has 599 rushing yards this season — 5th-most among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed 270 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among Big Ten defenses.

  
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