The Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (2-1) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati.
Oklahoma is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).
The Oklahoma vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Oklahoma vs Cincinnati Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 85.6% confidence.
Oklahoma vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 76.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Cincinnati, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Oklahoma Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jalil Farooq has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jovantae Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Cincinnati players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Emory Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Emory Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Emory Jones has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)
- Evan Prater has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Oklahoma is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.56% ROI
- Oklahoma is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Oklahoma is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -11.6% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Cincinnati is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
#16 Oklahoma is 10-3 (.769) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .440
#16 Oklahoma is 18-4 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .593
#16 Oklahoma is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .521
#16 Oklahoma is 10-2 (.556) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Cincinnati was winless (0-3) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Cincinnati is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .247
Cincinnati is 17-5 (.773) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .420
Cincinnati is 18-4 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .563
Cincinnati has gained 858 yards on 60 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — third-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs has gained 757 yards on 47 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — 20th-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.