The Oklahoma Sooners (3-1) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (2-2) on Sep. 28 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Oklahoma is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Oklahoma vs. Auburn Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Oklahoma vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oklahoma vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oklahoma Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today
- Gavin Sawchuk has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Andrel Anthony has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Nic Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jalil Farooq has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Rivaldo Fairweather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 19.1% ROI).
Oklahoma is 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Oklahoma is 7-1 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
Oklahoma is 7-1 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .547
Oklahoma is 10-3 (.769) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .457
Auburn is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .507
Auburn is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
Auburn is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Auburn is 7-7 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692
Auburn’s RBs has 7 receptions in 4 games (just 1.8 per game) this season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s RBs has rushed for 569 yards on 79 carries (7.2 YPC) this season — 7th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense have allowed just 3.2 YPC to RBs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.