The Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) visit Ryan Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (1-7) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Evanston.
Ohio State are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -38.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Northwestern is 58 total points.
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Ohio State vs Northwestern Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 78.6% confidence.
Ohio State vs Northwestern Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / 0% ROI).
- Ohio State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 12.55% ROI
- Ohio State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Ohio State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Northwestern is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -55.61% ROI
- Northwestern is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Northwestern is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
#2 Ohio State is undefeated (9-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373
#3 Ohio State is 14-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411
#2 Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best in FBS; Average: .435
#2 Ohio State is 18-1 (.947) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best in FBS; Average: .490
Northwestern is winless (0-13) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
Northwestern is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .463
Northwestern is winless (0-11) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .309
Northwestern is winless (0-9) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453
Northwestern’s TEs has 47 receptions in 18 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.