The Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (2-3) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in East Lansing.
Ohio State are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -27 (-110).
The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Michigan State is 64.5 total points.
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Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 79.3% confidence.
Ohio State vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 78.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Completions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+2.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.57 Units / 5% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.64 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State has gone 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- Ohio State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.3% ROI
- Ohio State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Ohio State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State has gone 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Michigan State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -9.24% ROI
- Michigan State is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Michigan State is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
#3 Ohio State is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364
#3 Ohio State is 18-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433
#3 Ohio State is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .492
#3 Ohio State is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .576
Michigan State is 9-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395
Michigan State is winless (0-6) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007
Michigan State is 9-1 (.643) when rushing more than 30 times — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417