The Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (3-1) on Sep. 28 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-115).
The Ohio State vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
Bet now on Michigan State vs Ohio State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Michigan State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ohio State vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Michigan State vs Ohio State and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.75 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today
- Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Brown has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carnell Tate has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nathan Carter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaron Glover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
Ohio State is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .445
Ohio State is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
Ohio State is 12-2 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Ohio State is 12-1 (.923) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .507
Michigan State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .506
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536
Michigan State is undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .647
Michigan State has gained 976 yards on 70 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State has gained 976 yards on 70 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.