The Minnesota Timberwolves head home on the brink of elimination against the Denver Nuggets, and we're offering our top Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Denver Nuggets (57-25) have swiftly turned the tide, seizing a 3-2 series lead as they head to Target Center in Minneapolis for Game 6 against the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) on Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Despite their recent struggles, the Timberwolves enter Thursday's matchup as a 2-point home favorite according to our r best sports betting sites. However, with each loss, their NBA championship odds have declined, even as Anthony Edwards remains a contender by the NBA Finals MVP odds.
Here are our best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 player props
- Anthony Edwards Over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113 via Caesars) ???
- Nikola Jokic Over 20.5 rebounds + assists (-108 via DraftKings) ????
- Jamal Murray Under 19.5 points (-104 via FanDuel) ????
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop bet predictions for Thursday
Terrell Owens used to say, “Get your popcorn ready,” when he took the field because of his rare talent and penchant for theatrics. Anthony Edwards brings that same absurd athletic ability and fun personality to the NBA court and has quickly become must-watch TV.
Against the Nuggets, h e's dropped over 40 points twice in five games while averaging a ridiculous 30.2 points, 5.8 assists, and 4.8 rebounds (41.4). While he's coming off a quieter game, I expect Edwards to put on a show at home in an attempt to force a Game 7 against Denver. He's playing over 40 minutes and averaging 20.2 shots, so the usage is there.
Hitting Over 40.5 points, rebounds, and assists in five of nine playoff games so far, these odds imply a 53.05% probability he does it again, according to our odds calculator. A $10 wager on this prop pays out $18.85.
Best odds: -113 via Caesars
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Sometimes, you just have to bet on the best player on the planet to be the best player on the planet. I bet against Nikola Jokic in Game 5 and he proceeded to make me look like a fool. I'm not making that mistake twice for fear Jokic's brothers would find out I doubted him.
Despite his scoring being off the charts as of late, his rebounding and playmaking have popped more throughout the playoffs. Jokic is averaging a combined 22.8 rebounds and assists in the playoffs and has topped 20.5 in three of his last four games and seven of 10 playoff games.
If the Timberwolves want to commit to slowing him as a scorer after his 40-point performance in Game 5, it will only open up opportunities for more apples. These odds imply a 51.92% probability the Over hits with a $10 bet paying out $19.26.
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings
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How often does a player hit a game-winning buzzer beater in one series and then launch stuff on the court in the next? Maybe it was worth the $100,000 fine because Denver has won three straight after Jamal Murray's Game 2 antics. But the winning has been in spite of him.
Murray's play has dropped off a cliff against a Timberwolves team that ranked first in defensive rating this season (109.0). He's averaging just 16.8 points per game and didn't attempt a three in Game 5. He's only scored more than 19 points once in the series.
This same prop is set at 20.5 at our other best sportsbooks with the odds as short as -131. Those odds imply a 56.71% probability he scores less than 21 points, but we'll bank on him putting up one fewer point with a $10 bet cashing a $9.62 profit at these odds.
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 info & odds
- When: Thursday, May 16
- Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minn.
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Timberwolves -2 (-110 via bet365)
Nuggets-Timberwolves player props made Wednesday at 1:20 p.m. ET.
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