The Northwestern Wildcats (2-1) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Washington is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Northwestern vs. Washington Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs Washington Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northwestern vs Washington Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Northwestern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -12.5% ROI
- Northwestern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Washington is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -6.32% ROI
- Washington is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Washington is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Northwestern is undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393
Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Northwestern is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .325
Northwestern is 4-1 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Washington is 17-3 (.850) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .395
Washington is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .410
Washington is 15-2 (.882) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Washington is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .392
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 669 attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.8% of 95 attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.