Northwestern vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11
Northwestern vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

The Northwestern Wildcats (1-8) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

Minnesota are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for Northwestern vs. Minnesota is 41 total points.

Bet now on Minnesota vs Northwestern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs Minnesota Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 73.1% confidence.

Northwestern vs Minnesota Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 70.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Hull has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan Hilinski has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tanner Morgan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tanner Morgan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 33% ROI)

  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+7.10 Units / 177% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 29% ROI)

  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern has gone 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -55.61% ROI
  • Northwestern is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Northwestern is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -17.36% ROI
  • Minnesota is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • Minnesota is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Northwestern is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .449

Northwestern is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Northwestern is winless (0-14) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .423

Minnesota is 7-2 (.583) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424

Minnesota is 8-3 (.571) when making 7 or more explosive plays — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439

Minnesota is 11-4 (.611) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459

Minnesota is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .596

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,020 yards on 62 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

  
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