The North Texas Mean Green (2-0) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The North Texas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 69.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs North Texas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
North Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs North Texas and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- North Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
- North Texas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- North Texas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Texas is 4-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .497
North Texas is undefeated (4-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394
North Texas is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .399
North Texas is 2-5 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Texas Tech is 5-2 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .377
Texas Tech is 9-4 (.562) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Texas Tech is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.750) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .494
Texas Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 721 passing yards in 2 games (360.5 YPG) this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 306.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.