The North Texas Mean Green 0-0 visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.
South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The North Texas vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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North Texas vs South Alabama Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 65.2% confidence.
North Texas vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas was 7-4 against the spread last college football season (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI).
- North Texas was 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -33.53% ROI
- North Texas was 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Texas was 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 5-8 against the spread this college football season (-3.9 Units / -27.08% ROI).
- South Alabama was 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -18.33% ROI
- South Alabama was 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- South Alabama was 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
North Texas is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .229
North Texas is 2-11 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
North Texas is 4-8 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .495
North Texas is 2-9 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .326
South Alabama is 15-3 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .550
South Alabama is 11-3 (.688) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .559
South Alabama is 12-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .449
South Alabama is 14-5 (.737) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .566
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.