North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

The North Carolina Tar Heels (8-1) visit Truist Field to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Winston-Salem.

Wake Forest are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest is 77 total points.

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North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 57.1% confidence.

North Carolina vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 70.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Wake Forest, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Downs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Antoine Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • A.T. Perry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sam Hartman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)

  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.69 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)

  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.70 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina has gone 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 39.69% ROI
  • North Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • North Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 5.02% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

#22 North Carolina is 7-2 (.700) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .437

#22 North Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

North Carolina is 9-3 (.643) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

#13 Wake Forest is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

#13 Wake Forest is 13-1 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 8th-best in FBS; Average: .537

#13 Wake Forest is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .378

#13 Wake Forest is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .620

  
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