The North Carolina Tar Heels (5-1) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (4-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Durham.
North Carolina are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Over/Under for North Carolina vs. Duke is 66.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs Duke Prediction for Week 7
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 60.8% confidence.
North Carolina vs Duke Spread Prediction for Week 7
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Downs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Duke Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Duke players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.49 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Duke Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.52 Units / 39% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.07 Units / 63% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina has gone 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).
- North Carolina is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 36.51% ROI
- North Carolina is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Carolina is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke has gone 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI).
- Duke is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 29.34% ROI
- Duke is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
- Duke is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI
North Carolina is 9-3 (.643) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431
Duke is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
Duke is 3-16 (.158) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506
Duke is 4-18 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450
Duke is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499
Duke’s WRs have just 133.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 304.2 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.