Call me an optimist, but when seeking value picks at our top sportsbooks for NHL player point totals, my preferences tilt towards the Overs.
Beyond past production, there are a few key factors when projecting NHL player point production. On-ice shooting percentage is reflective of all players on the ice and, generally, is not in the control of an individual player.
The caliber of a player's linemates is a factor outside of a player's control. When looking for Overs, then, it makes sense to find the players that drive offensive production.
Injuries are also going to be an issue on season-long point props. Any kind of injury that knocks a player out for more than a few weeks could make the Over difficult to achieve.