Welcome to the daily NHL betting market report, your source for comprehensive and dynamic hockey betting analysis. Follow me on Twitter to stay up to date as I handicap the NHL each day.
Market Report for Thursday, Oct. 27th
Recap: Wednesday was a quiet day. No bets.
Wins: 16 Losses: 11 Units Won: 4.69 units ROI: 16.8 percent
I’m tracking all my plays on Betstamp: a third party bet tracking app. The bets reveal themselves after the games start. I keep my own personal records as well and they may differ slightly from Betstamp due to several factors, but for the most part, it should line up closely.
Today: Thursday’s betting market report is a work in progress. I will update this section later in the morning when it is finished. I have one bet that I wanted to get out early in the hopes of being on the right side of the day’s news.
All game lines via DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook, but I will sometimes use the consensus odds from the VSiN NHL Odds page if it is a better price and widely available. All recommended bets will be accompanied by recommended stake size. All stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick.
Detroit Red Wings (+ 195) at Boston Bruins (-220)
The Bruins announced some big news on Wednesday. Brad Marchand is close to returning and will be back in the lineup a lot earlier than expected. He won’t be in the lineup on Thursday, though, and he isn’t going to play on Friday against the Blue Jackets. Boston should be able to pick up two wins in two days against two weak opponents, but the scheduling makes it tough to predict which goaltender they will start. Linus Ullmark has been great, but Jeremy Swayman hasn’t found his rhythm yet so head coach Jim Montgomery could choose to start him on Thursday. Swayman’s last start came in Ottawa on the second half of a back-to-back, and maybe the team will look at that and decide to give him a better chance to succeed this time around. It’s unclear who the Red Wings will start, but given how bad Alex Nedeljkovic has been so far, I think we’ll see Ville Husso. It probably won’t matter much, as Detroit is still without two of its most important pl ayers, Jakub Vrana and Tyler Bertuzzi. Boston should win the game approximately 68.5 percent of the time, which means the current game line accurately reflects the team’s chances of winning.
Florida Panthers (-200) at Philadelphia Flyers (+ 175)
If the Philadelphia Flyers weren’t dealing with so many injuries, I might have considered backing them in this spot. They’re rested, having had three days off prior to the game, and goaltender Carter Hart has been great for them. These two teams have met already once this season. Florida won that game by a score of 4-3. However, the Flyers were playing their second game in as many days and Hart was not in goal for that game. The Panthers’ play has been underwhelming, and they aren’t going to be at their best until defenseman Aaron Ekblad returns to the lineup, which won’t be for a while. And besides, who knows how good the Panthers are. Like a lot of other people, I predicted that they wouldn’t be quite as good in 2022-23, and that looks to be the case so far. They’re certainly not good enough to justify betting them at -200.