NFL Wild-Card Best Bets from the T Shoe Index
The regular season is behind us and it is time to win or go home. There’s a really good slate of matchups this weekend and a couple of opportunities TSI shows value in that my gut agrees with. Miami traveling to Kansas City to face Patrick Mahomes in the 0 degree tundra will be an interesting storyline to keep an eye on, as well as the late-rising Jordan Love-led Packers taking on the Cowboys, not to mention rookie sensation CJ Stroud hosting the Cleveland Browns in his first playoff start. I’m genuinely excited to watch this slate of games and even more excited to hopefully cash a couple of bets along the way.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills (-10), O/U 35.5
It’s not often you see a total in the mid-thirties with a team laying double digits, especially in an NFL playoff game and especially when that underdog is Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers. TSI projects this game as Buffalo -8, so getting a key number of 10 is crucial here. Even without my numbers validating this play, my gut tells me that Buffalo laying 10 points against Pittsburgh is too many, but the fact that TSI reinforces my thought makes this a play for me. While the Bills finished the regular season power rated fourth and the Steelers just twenty-first, that only equates to a 5.9 point difference on a neutral field, and I’m not buying that there’s a four point home field advantage for the Bills.
Pick: Steelers +10 or better