What a wild year of NFL parity!
The Eagles, Bills and Chiefs are at the top of the league in some order, but everything after that is a mess. The standings put the Giants, Vikings and Jets next, but the underlying numbers leave many questions about them. The Panthers, Bears'and Commanders were left for dead before pulling off huge upsets. It’s all unpredictable.
In Week 7, underdogs between three and 10 points continued to dominate at 5-3 against the spread (ATS). Teams in that range are now 39-18 ATS on the season, covering 68% of the time with a winning record in all seven weeks. There’s just one problem — only two games are in that range this week.
Instead, a whopping 10 games in Week 8 feature a spread of three or fewer points. Books are finally admitting what we’ve seen ourselves: They don’t know who’s any good either.