Every week in the 2023 NFL season, we'll recap how Action Network's NFL Luck Rankings fared and take a look at some of the unluckiest results in our NFL Bad Beat Rankings.
With no Luck Ranking matchups in Week 5, unlucky teams remain 7-5-2 ATS in 2023 and 106-59-6 overall since 2018 in luck-based matchups.
We can also use Expected Scores, which power the Luck Rankings, to look at bad beats.'We're discussing bad beats not in terms of a win or loss, but in terms of win probability swing.'so be sure to check out the science behind the NFL Bad Beat Rankings.
For a quick synopsis, we're looking at expected scores and comparing them to actual scores. We're''saying the team that su ffered the bad beat should have won, just that the scoreline was unflattering compared to their expected performance given the game situations they encountered.