Week 3 NFL Spread Projections
After two successful weeks for Jon Von Model it’s hard not to get excited. The best bets from the model have Mitch Moss and I in contention for the first three-week contest in the SuperContest, and the overall returns are better than I could have hoped for.
However, I have been tamping down my excitement, because it is an extremely small sample size of success based on an extremely raw statistical model. Still, there is some pride felt on my end.
The biggest edge from last week was Tampa Bay over Chicago. Jon Von Model had projected a 10.89-point victory for the Buccaneers. Thanks to an ill-advised pass on a screen from Justin Fields, Tampa Bay was able to win by 10 points and cover as 2.5-point favorites. That was one of three games that fell right in line with Jon Von Model’s projections.