Here are our picks and leans for each NFL game of Week 2.
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Jets vs. Browns
The Jets will look to rebound after a loss to the Ravens last week. The Browns held McCaffrey to 33 yards rushing last week in their win over the Panthers. The Jets were also stout against the run, allowing three yards per carry last week. However, both teams allowed over 12 yards per completion last week, with Jacoby Brissett completing 59.2% of his passes for 147 yards as a game manager, as the team ran for 217 yards. He should have an easier time throwing the ball this week. Flacco, meanwhile, could have a little more success through the air, but if he must throw 59 times like last week, it could be a tough day. Both teams will look to run the ball, but the Browns will likely have more success in a low-scoring affair.
Pick: Browns -6.5 | u39.5
Commanders vs. Lions
The Commanders travel to Detroit to take on the Lions in Week 2. Washington, in their win over Jacksonville, was able to make some big plays through the air, but QB Carson Wentz also threw two interceptions. Meanwhile, the Lions were beaten in the air and on the ground by dynamic QB Jalen Hurts in their loss to the Eagles. Wentz doesn't pose the same kind of ground threat as Hurts but can hurt Detroit through the air if they are unable to get pressure. Meanwhile, the Lions running game was excellent against a strong Eagles front seven, which could be a problem for a Washington defense that gave up 6.8 yards per carry in Week 1. Both teams should be able to move the ball and it may come down to which quarterback makes the least amount of mistakes.
Picks: Lean Lions -1.5 | o48.5
Buccaneers vs. Saints
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the division rival New Orleans Saints in a battle of NFC South favorites. The Saints were able to rally on the road versus the Falcons and usher in the Dennis Allen/Jameis Winston era with a victory. Despite looking anemic for much of the contest, the Saints’ offense showed potential late in the game versus Atlanta.
The Tampa Bay offense, however, looked league-average at best. They had success running the ball against an exploitable Cowboys run defense, but the unit lacked the explosiveness which propelled it to the NFL's elite in past seasons.
The Saints have been QB Tom Brady's kryptonite since his arrival in Tampa, I'll gladly take the points with the Saints in their home opener.
Picks: Saints +2.5 | lean u44
Panthers vs. Giants
The Panthers were one of the worst teams against the run last week, and the Giants had the most rushing yards in Week 1. Saquon Barkley should pick up right where he left off against the Titans when he scored the game-winning two-point conversion. He also ran the ball 18 times for 164 yards, an average of 9.1 yards per carry. The Panthers gave up 5.6 yards per attempt against Nick Chubb and the Browns last week.
Baker Mayfield was sacked four times by the Browns last week, and Daniel Jones was sacked five times. The Giants have a better chance at pressuring the quarterback, especially if Kayvon Thibodeaux suits up, but the secondary will need help after allowing 13.3 yards per completion last week. Mayfield threw for 12.9 yards per completion; he may connect on a few deep balls.
Picks: Giants -1.5 | Lean o43.5
Patriots vs. Steelers
As they head to Pittsburgh, the Patriots look to forget their woeful Week 1 start. On the bright side, the Pats’ defense allowed only 59 yards of rushing at a 2.57 yards per carry rate. They will have to keep Harris contained, as the Steelers will almost surely utilize Najee more than the 10 rushes he saw in Week 1.
For the Steelers, the loss of T.J. Watt will impact their potent defense, but how much? With six sacks and three interceptions from other defenders (including one pick-six), the Steelers might just have enough talent to cover for Watt while his pec recovers.
Nonetheless, with New England down to -2 even with the Steelers receiving 65+% of the spread bets, be watching for even more late-line movement as the game approaches.
Picks: Patriots -2 | Lean o40
Colts vs. Jaguars
The Colts travel to Jacksonville for a Week 2 AFC South matchup. Indianapolis continued their trend of slow starts with a tie to Houston in which they were only able to muster a field goal through the first three quarters. Matt Ryan fumbled four times, losing only one, and threw an interception in his Colts debut, reminding fans of Carson Wentz. On the other side of the ball, Jacksonville will pose a bigger threat offensively for Indianapolis, as they were able to move the ball effectively on the ground in their Week 1 matchup with the Commanders to the tune of 6.8 yards per carry. The Colts have the firepower to exploit the Jaguars’ defense, but if they start slow again, they may find it too difficult to turn it on late again in the Florida humidity.
Picks: Jaguars +3.5 | Lean u45
Dolphins vs. Ravens