This season at BettingPros, we're asking some of our experts to give leans and top picks for every game on the NFL slate. Here are all of their leans, picks, best bets and predictions for Week 12.
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Week 12 Spread Leans for Each Game
| Home Team | Away Team | Home Spread | Fitzmaurice | Freedman | Santora | MacMillan | Wolbransky | Greer |
| CAR | DEN | 2.5 | CAR | DEN | CAR | CAR | CAR | CAR |
| MIA | HOU | -13 | HOU | MIA | HOU | HOU | MIA | MIA |
| NYJ | CHI | -4.5 | NYJ | NYJ | NYJ | NYJ | CHI | CHI |
| CLE | TB | 3.5 | CLE | TB | CLE | TB | CLE | CLE |
| JAX | BAL | 4 | BAL | JAX | BAL | JAX | JAX | JAX |
| WAS | ATL | -4.5 | WAS | ATL | ATL | ATL | WAS | ATL |
| TEN | CIN | 1.5 | TEN | TEN | TEN | CIN | TEN | TEN |
| ARI | LAC | 4.5 | ARI | ATL | ARI | ARI | ARI | ARI |
| SEA | LV | -3.5 | SEA | SEA | SEA | SEA | SEA | LV |
| KC | LAR | -14.5 | KC | KC | LAR | LAR | KC | LAR |
| SF | NO | -9 | SF | NO | NO | NO | NO | NO |
| PHI | GB | -7 | GB | GB | PHI | GB | PHI | PHI |
| IND | PIT | -2.5 | PIT | IND | IND | PIT | PIT | IND |
TEN +2 vs. CIN
I have the Bengals rated two points higher (before adjusting for Week 12-specific injuries) — but the Titans have a few factors in their favor. First, they have three extra days of rest after playing last week on Thursday Night Football — and HC Mike Vrabel is 9-0 ATS with 10-plus days between games in the regular season. Additionally, Vrabel’s Titans have been strong as underdogs (22-12 ATS), and they’ve been especially strong as home dogs (9-4 ATS). Finally, the Titans have had an unreal home-field advantage of 7.02 points over the past 16 weeks (per NFElo). Now, I’m certainly not assigning them a home-field advantage that strong. Regression will strike eventually. But Nissan Stadium has not been an easy place to play for visitors since the Titans’ stretch run last year, and that shouldn’t be ignored. Put all of that together, and I have this game as close to a pick’em.
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