NFL Week 12 Best Bets from the T Shoe Index
One of the best weeks of the year is upon us; a week of family, food, and football. There’s nothing better to help you escape a totally unnecessary and politically-charged debate with your uncle and/or grandparents at the Thanksgiving table than some Turkey Day NFL football – especially if you’ve got some action on it. So, rather than getting fired up about differing opinions on military spending and which candidate has done the most terrible things in his/her life, channel that energy into sweating some bets with me, courtesy of my T Shoe Index.
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Dallas Cowboys (-11) vs Washington Commanders, O/U 48.5 (Thursday)
The Cowboys, No. 3 in my TSI power ratings, host the Washington Commanders, No. 31 and fresh off a loss to the Giants. It doesn’t get much lower than losing to a team that doesn’t particularly want to win. TSI projects a 14 point Cowboys’ win here. As you know by now, I’m not a huge trends bettor, but one trend that jumped out to me is that favorites of 10+ are 8-0 on Thanksgiving since 2005. I recently called the Cowboys “The Penn State of the NFL” due to the way they tend to annihilate poor competition and that sometimes doesn’t translate to them beating the elite teams. Washington qualifies as poor competition, and that’s putting it generously. I think the Cowboys will roll here and do what they do against inferior opposition.
Pick: Cowboys -11 (Play to -13)