This week’s edition of Thursday Night Football features the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Buffalo Bills in upstate New York. Neither team has been great in the last few weeks since the Bills have lost 2 of their last 3 and the Bucs have been defeated in 3 of their last 4. But the good news is one team gets to add another win to their record on Thursday, and for this primetime matchup, I’ve crafted a S ame Game Parlay that pays out at over 8/1 odds at FanDuel.
Stefon Diggs 100+ receiving yards (+136)
Don't get scared away by the plus odds. Stefon Diggs has reached 100 receiving yards in 70% of games this season (or 5 of the 7 games). The only 2 times that Diggs failed to reach the century mark were against the Raiders and Patriots, and both had their own reasons for why not. In Week 2 against the Raiders, the Bills were winning by several touchdowns early on in the game which led to Diggs sitting for almost the entirety of the second half (he still had 66 yards on 7 catches). Last week against the Patriots, Diggs had just 58 yards, but he was also targeted 12 times and had only 6 catches. Plus, Josh Allen wasn't that great in the first half and Buffalo barely put together a quality drive, which limited Diggs' involvement. However, it's also important to note that New England's secondary is in the top half of the league.
That's not the case for Tampa Bay, who allows 246.7 passing yards per game – the 6th most in the NFL. And whenever the Bucs face a star receiver, a common theme has emerged. A few weeks ago, the Bucs lost to the Eagles and allowed AJ Brown to have 131 yards on 9 catches. And two weeks ago, Amon-Ra St. Brown of the Lions totaled 124 yards on 12 catches. I'm following the trends and backing Allen's favorite target to have 100+ receiving yards on Thursday Night Football.
Check out our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills predictions