We’ve got a barnburner to kickstart Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season, as Thursday Night Football features a huge AFC North matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. The AFC North is currently the hottest division in football, where the Bengals are currently bottom despite holding a 5-4 record. They’ll be desperate to keep their postseason aspirations alive here with a victory, while the Ravens are looking to hold onto their lead atop the division and bounce back from last week’s defeat to the Browns. Let’s dive into my Bengals vs Ravens Same Game Parlay for this huge TNF matchup, which kicks off at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime.
One way to get value in Same Game Parlays is to combine contradictory legs. That is part of the plan here, as taking the under on Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards along with him to score a touchdown greatly boosts the odds on this SGP. However, given how high his yardage line is, there is no reason why both legs don’t cash. And the addition of Gus Edwards’ rushing prop also gives these odds a nice bump. Let’s break down each of these legs.
Gus Edwards over 47.5 rushing yards (-108)
To get this SGP started, we’re taking the over on Gus Edwards’ rushing yards prop. All things considered, this line feels far too low. Edwards has cleared this line in 7 of his last 9 games and continues to be a huge part of the Ravens’ run game. Further, he’s found the end zone 7 times in his last 4 games, so John Harbaugh will likely want to continue generating offense through his running back. What really gives this play appeal though is the Bengals’ ailing run defense, which has allowed a huge 5 yards per carry this season (2nd-most in the NFL). When these teams met earlier in the season, Edwards had 10 carries for 62 rushing yards and a touchdown. I’m expecting a similar effort in this one.