NFL Thursday Night Football predictions: Dolphins vs Bengals picks and best bets from expert analyst Clevta – Fade the Dolphins' defense
NFL Thursday Night Football predictions: Dolphins vs Bengals picks and best bets from expert analyst Clevta – Fade the Dolphins' defense

Over 26.5 (-105) available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Thursday Night Football brings us the undefeated 3-0 Miami Dolphins visiting the 1-2 Cincinnati Bengals and this is an absolutely brutal turnaround for the Dolphins and especially their defense. The Dolphins came away with a hard-fought 21-19 victory over the Buffalo Bills but they may pay for it on Thursday night.

Their defense was on the field for a ridiculous 90 plays against Buffalo as the Bills held the ball for nearly 43 out of 60 minutes. That's an incredible figure and the Dolphins defense was playing stifling Miami heat as well. It was so bad that multiple players on both teams were cramping and complaining of dehydration during and after the game.'Historically, just being on the field for that many plays has spelled problems for the defense the next week.

Looking back since 2000, defenses that were on the field for at least 90 plays allowed their next opponents to exceed their offensive team totals in 15 of 24 games, a rate of 63%. Last year, we saw that occur only once, with the Jets on the field for 93 plays in Week 4 against the Titans, and then allowing Atlanta to exceed their team total the next week. The Falcons scored 27 points, exceeding their 23.5-point total.

  
Read Full Article