It can be a fool’s errand attempting to predict receiving touchdowns.
Receivers only touch the ball a handful of times each game and TD totals can vary wildly from one season to the next. One monster game can propel a player to the top of the leaderboard and it’s common to see one year’s leaders fall off entirely the following season.
Cooper Kupp is the reigning receiving TD champion with 16 last fall, and he also led the league in receptions and yards as part of a historic season. No player has gone back-to-back as the receiving TD leader in two decades, not since the great Terrell Owens in 2001-02. History says it’s unlikely Kupp defends his crown, so that could open this market up.
Let’s start by considering the chance Kupp repeats as the favorite, then consider other key contenders. Our analysis won’t go as deep as other categories since TDs are much less predictable, but that also means there is plenty of betting opportunity.