NFL playoff scenarios: Which teams can clinch a playoff spot, No. 1 seed in Week 18?
NFL playoff scenarios: Which teams can clinch a playoff spot, No. 1 seed in Week 18?

The 2022-23 NFL regular season wraps up this weekend and the playoff bracket will be finalized by the close of the Lions-Packers game. The league has three playoff spots still up for grabs and only three seeds are locked in heading into the weekend.

The weekend opens with a Saturday doubleheader with the Chiefs traveling to face the Raiders and the Jaguars hosting the Titans. The Chiefs can clinch the No. 1 seed with a win, but would still have to wait on the Bills-Patriots result for their home field advantage opportunity. If the Chiefs lose, they would be waiting for the Bills-Patriots and Bengals-Ravens results. Jaguars-Titans is fairly black and white with the winner claiming the AFC South title. Jacksonville still has a playoff opportunity without the division title, but it requires waiting until Sunday's results.

Sunday is a much busier day with plenty on the line. Here's a look at the complete list of playoff clinching scenarios for the NFC and AFC heading into Week 18.

Philadelphia Eagles

Clinch NFC East title with:

  • Win or tie, OR
  • Cowboys loss or tie

Clinch first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

  • Win or tie, or
  • Cowboys loss or tie + 49ers loss or tie

Dallas Cowboys

Clinch NFC East title with:

  • Win + Eagles loss

Clinch first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

  • Win + Eagles loss + 49ers loss or tie

San Francisco 49ers

Clinch first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

  • Win + Eagles loss

Seattle Seahawks

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win + Packers loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Lions tie + Commanders loss or tie

Detroit Lions

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win + Seahawks loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Seahawks loss, OR
  • Tie + Seahawks tie + Commanders win

Green Bay Packers

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win

Kansas City Chiefs

Clinch first round bye with:

  • Win, OR
  • Tie + Bills tie, OR
  • Bills loss

Clinch first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

  • Win + Bills loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Bills loss

Buffalo Bills

Clinch first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

  • Win + Chiefs loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Chiefs loss

Jacksonville Jaguars

Clinch AFC South title with:

  • Win or Tie

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Dolphins loss + Patriots loss + Steelers loss

Tennessee Titans

Clinch AFC South title with:

  • Win

New England Patriots

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win, OR
  • Tie + Dolphins loss or tie + Steelers loss or tie, OR
  • Dolphins loss + Steelers loss + Jaguars win or tie

Miami Dolphins

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win + Patriots loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Patriots loss + Steelers loss or tie

Pittsburgh Steelers

Clinch playoff berth with:

  • Win + Dolphins loss or tie + Patriots loss or tie, OR
  • Tie + Dolphins loss + Patriots loss

  
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