The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and quarterback Tom Brady have been bet down early from an opening -6 favorite to -3.5 chalk as of Monday afternoon. Here's an analysis of all the Week 13 NFL odds and lines.
There has already been considerable movement in the direction of the New Orleans Saints for their Week 13 matchup against Tampa Bay on Monday Night Football. The NFC South Division remains wide open, and this will also be the second meeting of the season between the two rivals.
Will oddsmakers risk removing the hook and making the Buccaneers a 3-point home favorite?
Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for Week 13, and how we think the lines will move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).
NFL Week 13 Odds and Lines: Thursday
Spread: Bills -5.5
The Buffalo Bills were a 5.5-point favorite on both the look-ahead and opening spreads, and the line remains the same. Even with the Bills failing to cover the number in four of their past five contests, I'd expect this spread to climb further in their direction. The majority of early money has come in on Buffalo. If that trend continues, and you're looking to back the New England Patriots, they could be trading at +6.5 or +7 by kickoff Thursday.
Total: 44.5
This is tied for the lowest total of the season for the Bills, whereas it's the highest for the Patriots since Week 5. The number has dipped a point after opening at 45.5. I expect this total t o remain above the key range of 43-44. The banged-up Buffalo defense has allowed 84 points over the past three weeks.
NFL Week 13 Odds and Lines: Sunday
Spread: Falcons -1.5
The Pittsburgh Steelers are a +2.5 road underdog for their Monday Night Football matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. There's potential for this spread to be impacted by Monday's results, and it has already moved a half point in the Atlanta Falcons' direction from the look-ahead line of -1.
Total: 42
Again, the total for this contest could be impacted by Pittsburgh's results on Monday. The look-ahead total was also 42, but there has been a half-point move above and below 42 at particular sportsbooks. I expect the number to settle in one of – or between – the key ranges of 40-41 and 43-44.
Spread: Packers -2.5
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers left during the third quarter of Sunday's game against the Philadelp hia Eagles with a rib injury. His Week 13 status is up in the air. Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (shoulder) also remains day-to-day, and head coach Matt Eberflus noted the second-year quarterback has a chance to play against the Packers on Sunday. The status of both quarterbacks will have an impact on this spread, and more specifically, if Rodgers or Fields is able to play and the other is not.
Total: 42.5
There's disparity in this total across our top-rated sportsbooks because of the uncertainty surrounding the status of Rodgers and Fields. The Packers have played to the Over in three consecutive games, whereas the total has gone Over the number in five straight Bears' games. It's also worth highlighting the look-ahead total was 44.
Spread: Lions -1
The Jacksonville Jaguars erased multiple fourth-quarter deficits to top the Baltimore Ravens, 28-27, and the Detroit Lions have extra rest after losing to the Buffalo Bil ls, 28-25, on Thanksgiving. Early money is coming in on the Lions, but it hasn't moved this spread significantly. Detroit was a -1 favorite in look-ahead markets, and the Lions have covered the margin in four straight games. I doubt the Jags will ever become a +3 road underdog, but this spread could continue to fluctuate between Lions -1 and -2.5.
Total: 52
With the total trading above the key number of 51, and early money on the Over, I'd expect this line to continue climbing toward the key range of 54-55. At the same time, considering the look-ahead total was 49.5, there will be a breaking point with buyback on the Under weighing in.
Spread: Vikings -3
The Minnesota Vikings were -3 favorites in look-ahead markets, and the field-goal margin remains. Early support is also on the Vikings, and a few sportsbooks tested Minny -3.5 briefly last week following the Thanksgiving win over the New England Patriots. I anticipate oddsmakers providin g the New York Jets with the hook as +3.5 road underdogs again before Sunday's kickoff.
Total: 45.5
Over money has skyrocketed this total from the look-ahead of 41.5 and opening 42.5. It cruised through the key range of 43-44, as the betting community and oddsmakers are showing respect for the New York offense with new No. 1 quarterback Mike White at the helm. This total could climb as far as the Over support will take it, but I doubt it reaches the key number of 51.
Spread: Commanders -1.5
The Washington Commanders are heading toward becoming -2 favorites across the board, as multiple sportsbooks have already made the move. In fact, I'd expect the Commanders to continue taking action until the chalk reaches -3. The division rivals are headed in opposite directions. Washington has won six of its past seven games, whereas the New York Giants have lost three of the last four contests. New York is also dealing with multiple injuries o n both sides of the ball.
Total: 40.5
There hasn't been enough betting action to move this total off the opening number. The Commanders and Giants have combined for a 7-15-1 Over/Under record this season, and the total is also already down from the 42 available in look-ahead markets. It'll take notable action on a particular side to move this total above or below the key range of 40-41.
Spread: Eagles -5.5
It wasn't surprising to see this spread move in the Tennessee Titans' direction. The Titans failed to cover the number last week against the Cincinnati Bengals for the first time since Week 2. Oddsmakers listed the Philadelphia Eagles as -7 favorites in look-ahead markets, but I expect this spread to stay between 4 and 6 for the remainder of the week.
Total: 44.5
This will be an interesting total to monitor this week. It's currently above the key range of 43-44, and the look-ahead total was 45.5. The two teams have been complete opposites in Over/Under results, too. Philadelphia sports a 7-4 O/U record, and Tennessee is 3-8.
Spread: Ravens -8.5