NFL Odds, Lines Week 12: Bettors Flying to Back Jets
NFL Odds, Lines Week 12: Bettors Flying to Back Jets

The New York Jets are receiving early money ahead of their matchup against the Chicago Bears on Sunday. Let's analyze all the NFL odds and lines for Week 12.

Oddsmakers have already moved the spread for the Bears-Jets game to New York -6, with bettors lining up to back the Gang Green. Will there be betting support for the underdog Bears leading into Sunday, or will the spread continue to lean in New York's favor?

Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for Week 12, and how we think the lines will move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook,&nbs p;BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).

NFL Week 12 Odds and Lines

Spread: Bills -9.5

This line has already moved a half point in the Buffalo Bills' favor, despite the Detroit Lions winning three consecutive games. Anticipate even more action on the Lions if oddsmakers move the spread to Bills -10. As a result, there won't be significant movement.

Total: 54

The Bills and Lions have both been showing off offensively in 2022, so it isn't surprising to see the total climb into the 54-55 key range after opening at 52.5. Detroit has posted a 7-3 Over/Under record for the campaign, and Buffalo is dealing with multiple injuries to key defensive starters. 

Spread: Cowboys -8.5

The Week 11 results significantly impacted this spread. The Dallas Cowboys steamrolled the Minnesota Vikings, whereas the New York Giants lost at home to the Detroit Lions. There were five New York start ers who also suffered injuries Sunday.

The look-ahead spread was Dallas -6.5, but it reopened at -8. The betting community will back the G-Men if this spread continues to climb.

Total: 44.5

Now that this total has risen above the key range of 43-44, Under money could bring it back down toward the look-ahead number of 43. The Giants and Cowboys have combined for a 6-13-2 Over/Under record in 2022, and their Week 3 matchup closed with a total of 39. Dallas won 23-16 for a push.

Spread: Vikings -3

This spread won't move significantly. The New England Patriots were receiving the hook with the Minnesota Vikings trading as -3.5 favorites in the look-ahead market, so oddsmakers could return to that number if the early support for the Vikings continues. 

Total: 42.5

Early money has been coming in on the Under, and this total has dropped to 41.5 at multiple sportsbooks. There will likely be buyback on the Over if this to tal descends into the 40-41 key range, especially after the look-ahead number was 43.5.

Spread: Ravens -4

The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off their bye week, and the Baltimore Ravens won ugly against the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. This spread opened at Ravens -3.5, and it's moved to -4 at multiple shops. That's an accurate spread, and if it moves leading into Sunday, I expect the Ravens will be even larger favorites.

Total: 45.5

There hasn't been any movement here since the opening. However, this total was as high as 47 in look-ahead markets. While there's potential for it to continue dropping into the key range of 43-44, I don't anticipate it falling below 43.

Spread: Broncos -2.5

The Denver Broncos have lost six of their past seven games, but they still opened as -2.5 road favorites against the Carolina Panthers. PointsBet is posting an outlier Broncos -3, so it will be interesting to see if other s portsbooks follow suit. Carolina has won its past two home games, and there to be bettors willing to back the Panthers with a field-goal spread.

Total: 35

This is the lowest Over/Under total of both Week 12 and the entire season. It was as high as 37 in the look-ahead market, but it's now below the key range of 36-37. From 2018 to 2021, 24.3% of regular-season games finished with fewer than 35 points. However, it's difficult to envision bettors rushing to back the Over. The Broncos and Panthers rank 29th and 30th, respectively, in offensive DVOA, according to Football Outsiders.

Spread: Commanders -3.5

There has been early action on the Washington Commanders, and that should continue all week. With a 1-4 road record, the Atlanta Falcons should be in tough against the surging Commanders. Washington sports an active 5-1 record, and oddsmakers will make the Commanders a larger favorite before Sunday.

Total: 43

This t otal is up from the look-ahead number of 42, moving into the key range of 43-44. Washington ranks ninth in defensive DVOA during the noted six-game stretch, and Atlanta is averaging the second-fewest pass attempts per game this season. Under money will come in if this total climbs above 44.  

Spread: Buccaneers -3

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a consensus -3 road favorite, and this spread also hasn't moved from the look-ahead number. Early money is coming in on the Bucs, which isn't surprising with the Cleveland Browns on a 1-6 run, and Tampa Bay also coming off its bye week. I expect the Browns to be receiving the hook with a +3.5 spread sooner than later.

Total: 44.5

Watching this total all week will be interesting. The Buccaneers rank seventh in defensive DVOA, whereas the Browns are 31st. The total has already dropped from the look-ahead number of 45.5, and there are multiple sportsbooks at 43.5 with Under money coming in ea rly. It will likely stay in the key range of 43-44 leading into kickoff.

Spread: Bengals -1.5

The Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans have combined for an impressive 15-5 record against the spread this season. Tennessee is coming off a mini bye following its road victory over the Green Bay Packers on Thursday. Early money has come in on Tennessee, and there are multiple sportsbooks hanging Cincinnati -1. I view this game as a potential pick'em, and I'm interested to see if oddsmakers make that move.

Total: 42.5

Cincinnati has put up 79 points over the past two weeks, and the Over cleared by at least 20 points in both games. The total went Over the number in a Titans game this past Thursday for the first time since Week 3, too. Tennessee has produced a 3-7 Over/Under record, and there hasn't been enough early money on either side to move this total from the opening number.

Spread: Dolphins -12

The Miami Dolphins have been bet up from the opening -11.5 spread and look-ahead number of -9.5. They'll keep taking money and climbing closer to the key number of 14. Miami is coming off a bye, and the Houston Texans are considerably weaker on both sides of the football. 

  
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